This book introduces the concept of heuristics - mental shortcuts that simplify complex judgments under uncertainty. While these heuristics are generally useful, allowing us to make quick decisions in our daily lives, they can also lead to predictable errors in judgment, known as cognitive biases. The book explores various heuristics, including the availability heuristic and the representativeness heuristic.

"Judgment Under Uncertainty" unveils a range of cognitive biases that stem from our reliance on heuristics. These biases, such as anchoring, framing effects, and overconfidence, demonstrate the systematic ways in which our judgments deviate from rationality. The book provides compelling evidence that these biases are not limited to naive individuals but affect experts and novices alike.

The insights from this book have profound implications for decision-making in various domains, including economics, medicine, law, and everyday life. By understanding the heuristics we use and the biases we are prone to, we can make more informed decisions, avoid common pitfalls, and improve our judgment under uncertainty.