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The Fourth Turning Is Here

Neil Howe

592 Pages
2023

The Fourth Turning Is Here

Simon and Schuster

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The Fourth Turning Is Here - Summary

In 'The Fourth Turning Is Here,' Neil Howe argues that current global turmoil is a predictable phase in Anglo-American history. The book outlines a cyclical theory of history where each 80-year cycle contains four 'turnings,' with the Fourth Turning being a period of crisis and upheaval. Howe suggests we are currently in such a Fourth Turning, which will likely culminate in a defining event by the early 2030s.

Key Ideas

1

The Fourth Turning

Anglo-American history moves in recurring 80-year cycles with four distinct 'turnings.' The Fourth Turning is the final crisis phase, characterized by polarization, institutional instability, and potential large-scale conflict.

2

Generational Archetypes

Each turning shapes the character of generations coming of age during that period. Current polarization is influenced by the clashing values of four living generations: Baby Boomers, Gen Xers, Millennials, and Generation Z.

3

The Coming Climax

The current Fourth Turning will reach a defining climax event by the early 2030s, offering both danger and potential for societal renewal. The outcome depends on choices made by individuals and institutions in the coming years.

FAQ's

While the book acknowledges the serious challenges of our time, it is ultimately a message of hope and empowerment. By understanding the cyclical patterns of history, we can better prepare for and shape the future.

While Howe's theory focuses on Anglo-American history, the themes of societal cycles and generational change resonate globally. The insights offered in the book can be valuable to anyone seeking to understand the complexities of the 21st century.

The book encourages readers to become active participants in shaping the future. This includes engaging in civic discourse, supporting strong institutions, fostering intergenerational understanding, and embracing personal resilience and adaptability.

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